Trading Desk Insights
Bitcoin regained its footing over the weekend, climbing back to around $115K as risk sentiment improved on hopes of a US-China tariff truce and looming Fed rate cuts. Stocks rallied into FOMC week, with markets pricing a 96% chance of a 25bp cut.
The Fear & Greed Index flipped from “fear” to “neutral” for the first time in two weeks, signaling fading panic after October’s liquidation flush. Spot and futures data from Glassnode show selling pressure easing, while funding rates stay muted, a sign positioning remains cautious but stable.
Traders are watching the $115K level closely as Bitcoin attempts to post its highest monthly close on record. AI-driven models and onchain metrics suggest $125K remains a possible target before month-end, though momentum appears uneven. Short-term holders are back in profit, while long-term conviction continues to anchor market structure despite light volumes.
Beyond Bitcoin, capital rotation remains selective. Alts like SOL and XRP caught mild bids, but most remain range-bound as investors prioritize quality over risk. With rate expectations driving sentiment, crypto markets may stay tethered to macro catalysts, particularly any updates from the Fed and progress in US-China trade negotiations.
Crypto Charts
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This research is for informational use only. This is not investment advice. Other than disclosures relating to Secure Digital Markets this research is based on current public information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. The information, opinions, estimates, and forecasts contained herein are as of the date hereof and are subject to change without prior notification. We seek to update our research as appropriate.
Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation. The price of crypto assets may rise or fall because of changes in the broad market or changes in a company's financial condition, sometimes rapidly or unpredictably. Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur. Fluctuations in exchange rates could have adverse effects on the value or price of, or income derived from, certain investments. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees, excluding equity and credit analysts, will from time to time have long or short positions in, act as principal in, and buy or sell, the securities or derivatives, if any, referred to in this research.
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