January 20, 2026

Trading Desk Insights

Bitcoin action this week reflected broader market nerves, with BTC slipping below $90,000 as U.S. markets opened amid escalating geopolitical tension. Risk assets broadly retraced early strength as concerns around an EU and U.S. trade dispute over Greenland rippled through equities.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq opened noticeably softer, while precious metals continued to shine. Gold extended to new record levels near $4,750 per ounce and silver remains elevated just beneath the $96 mark. This classic risk off cross asset behavior has weighed on BTC, but traders are watching support levels closely for signs of regime stability.

Sentiment was further stirred by a series of bold moves from the Trump administration. A widely circulated image showed Greenland and Canada mapped as part of the United States, followed by an explicit threat of 200% tariffs on French goods. U.S. currency weakened, bond yields climbed, and equity markets slipped in response. Amazon CEO Andy Jassy noted in a CNBC interview that early effects of tariff creep are already visible in product pricing. These signals from both policy and corporate channels are reinforcing inflationary pressure and unsettling risk appetite across global markets.

Market sentiment among traders shows a mix of cautious optimism and structural caution. A number of prominent analysts remain confident that as long as Bitcoin holds above the mid $80,000s, specifically around $88,500, the broader uptrend is still valid. That keeps a $100,000 retest clearly in play.

On the institutional side, demand signals remain robust. Notably, one of the largest public Bitcoin holders, MicroStrategy, accelerated accumulation last week, adding over 22,000 BTC at an average cost just north of $95,000 per coin. That pushed its aggregate holdings above 700,000 BTC. This marks the group’s most aggressive buying pace in nearly a year and underscores continuing conviction among large treasury allocators even as markets wobble.

Market positioning appears to reflect a classic wait and see ahead of the World Economic Forum in Davos, where macro narratives are likely to influence risk appetite into the next fortnight. Traders are digesting cross asset correlations alongside fundamental flows, with Bitcoin’s internal technical structure now front and center for many participants.

In sum, near term volatility continues to be driven by macro risk sentiment and technical battlegrounds around major support and resistance bands. While geopolitical headlines and traditional markets grab attention, underlying demand from long term holders and strategic buyers is keeping a floor under prices and a clear path for upside continuation on strength.

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Disclaimer

This research is for informational use only. This is not investment advice. Other than disclosures relating to Secure Digital Markets this research is based on current public information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. The information, opinions, estimates, and forecasts contained herein are as of the date hereof and are subject to change without prior notification. We seek to update our research as appropriate.

Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation. The price of crypto assets may rise or fall because of changes in the broad market or changes in a company's financial condition, sometimes rapidly or unpredictably. Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur. Fluctuations in exchange rates could have adverse effects on the value or price of, or income derived from, certain investments. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees, excluding equity and credit analysts, will from time to time have long or short positions in, act as principal in, and buy or sell, the securities or derivatives, if any, referred to in this research.

The information on which the analysis is based has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable such as, for example, the company’s financial statements filed with a regulator, company website, company white paper, pitchbook and any other sources. While Secure Digital Markets has obtained data, statistics, and information from sources it believes to be reliable, it does not perform an audit or seek independent verification of any of the data, statistics, and information it receives.

Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, Secure Digital Markets does not represent that the report contents meet all of the presentation and/or disclosure standards applicable in the jurisdiction the recipient is located. Secure Digital Markets and their officers, directors and employees shall not be responsible or liable for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses, or opinions within the report.

Crypto and/or digital currencies involve substantial risk, are speculative in nature and may not perform as expected. Many digital currency platforms are not subject to regulatory supervision, unlike regulated exchanges. Some platforms may commingle customer assets in shared accounts and provide inadequate custody, which may affect whether or how investors can withdraw their currency and/or subject them to money laundering. Digital currencies may be vulnerable to hacks and cyber fraud as well as significant volatility and price swings.

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