March 23, 2026

Trading Desk Insights

Market sentiment across digital assets remains highly reactive to macro developments, with recent price action largely driven by geopolitical headlines. Bitcoin has rebounded toward the $71,000 level following signals of a temporary pause in potential U.S. action against Iran, highlighting the strong linkage between crypto and broader risk sentiment, particularly through oil and liquidity channels.

This move higher was accelerated by a wave of short liquidations, suggesting the rally was driven more by positioning than by a meaningful shift in underlying conviction. As a result, while price has recovered in the short term, market participants remain cautious in interpreting this as the beginning of a sustained uptrend.

Focus now shifts to the $72,000 to $75,000 range, where key liquidity sits and where Bitcoin may face resistance. A break above this zone would be needed to confirm stronger bullish momentum, while rejection could reinforce the view that this is a temporary bounce within a broader uncertain structure.

On the downside, support levels in the mid $60,000 range remain critical, particularly if macro uncertainty re-emerges. Overall, the market continues to trade in a headline-driven environment, balancing short-term relief with ongoing caution as participants look for clearer confirmation of direction.

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Disclaimer

This research is for informational use only. This is not investment advice. Other than disclosures relating to Secure Digital Markets this research is based on current public information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. The information, opinions, estimates, and forecasts contained herein are as of the date hereof and are subject to change without prior notification. We seek to update our research as appropriate.

Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation. The price of crypto assets may rise or fall because of changes in the broad market or changes in a company's financial condition, sometimes rapidly or unpredictably. Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur. Fluctuations in exchange rates could have adverse effects on the value or price of, or income derived from, certain investments. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees, excluding equity and credit analysts, will from time to time have long or short positions in, act as principal in, and buy or sell, the securities or derivatives, if any, referred to in this research.

The information on which the analysis is based has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable such as, for example, the company’s financial statements filed with a regulator, company website, company white paper, pitchbook and any other sources. While Secure Digital Markets has obtained data, statistics, and information from sources it believes to be reliable, it does not perform an audit or seek independent verification of any of the data, statistics, and information it receives.

Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, Secure Digital Markets does not represent that the report contents meet all of the presentation and/or disclosure standards applicable in the jurisdiction the recipient is located. Secure Digital Markets and their officers, directors and employees shall not be responsible or liable for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses, or opinions within the report.

Crypto and/or digital currencies involve substantial risk, are speculative in nature and may not perform as expected. Many digital currency platforms are not subject to regulatory supervision, unlike regulated exchanges. Some platforms may commingle customer assets in shared accounts and provide inadequate custody, which may affect whether or how investors can withdraw their currency and/or subject them to money laundering. Digital currencies may be vulnerable to hacks and cyber fraud as well as significant volatility and price swings.

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