May 28, 2025

Trading Desk Insights


Bitcoin is under some pressure this morning, but the list of outperforming altcoins remains thin, with BTC dominance holding firm and showing no real signs of reversal just yet. While Bitcoin’s rally still holds the potential to ignite breakouts in the larger altcoin space, we’re simply not there  for now, the crypto market has slipped into consolidation mode. Interestingly, BTC seems to have front-run traditional markets, entering this cooling-off phase while the Nasdaq remains 5% below its all-time highs.

Technically, BTC is breaking down out of its consolidation channel that’s been in place since April, putting the next key support around $105,000 in focus. A break below that could open the door for a sharper push toward the $100,000 level as bearish pressure builds.

On the ETF front, inflows continue to show strong investor appetite: U.S. spot BTC ETFs pulled in a solid $385 million yesterday, marking nine consecutive days of net inflows. Spot ETH ETFs followed with $39 million in net inflows, running seven days in a row.

Looking at the options landscape, Friday’s BTC expiry carries a hefty $3.5 billion in delta across Deribit BTC and IBIT contracts, with strikes sitting not far from spot. That sets the stage for potentially aggressive dealer hedging if price action stirs in this fragile gamma setup so we should expect a volatility spike if things start moving.

On the corporate side, demand for BTC continues to build: GameStop just announced a hefty purchase of 4,710 BTC worth around $513 million as it kicks off a MicroStrategy-style crypto accumulation strategy.

In the broader tech space, Telegram has struck a $300 million deal with Elon Musk’s xAI to integrate the Grok chatbot into its platform. The deal, a mix of cash and equity, gives Telegram a 50% cut of any subscription revenue generated. Not surprisingly, the TON token tied to Telegram’s blockchain saw a sharp surge following the news.

Meanwhile, regulatory headlines are shifting: the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employee Benefits Security Administration has rolled back its 2022 guidance that discouraged fiduciaries from offering crypto options in 401(k) plans. The agency is now taking a neutral stance, effectively signaling that it neither endorses nor opposes fiduciaries who want to include crypto in retirement offerings.

Equity markets were flat on Wednesday as traders sifted through earnings reports ahead of the Fed’s May meeting minutes and Nvidia’s highly anticipated quarterly numbers. The Fed minutes, due at 2 p.m. ET, will be closely watched for clues on how policymakers are thinking about monetary policy in this uncertain macro environment.

The News Room

Bo Hines Advocates for U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve

Bo Hines, a prominent advocate for digital assets, has declared that the United States should not sell its Bitcoin holdings but instead pursue an "endless accumulation" strategy to build a strategic reserve. Rejecting the notion of setting a specific target for Bitcoin holdings, Hines emphasizes the importance of amassing as much Bitcoin as possible to bolster national economic resilience and maintain a competitive edge in the evolving global financial landscape

Texas Legislators Finalize Bitcoin Reserve Bill

Texas lawmakers have reached a consensus on the final version of Senate Bill 21, known as the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act. A significant amendment in the finalized bill is the removal of staking provisions, reflecting a cautious approach to digital asset management. The bill outlines criteria for digital assets eligible for inclusion in the state's reserve and establishes an advisory structure to oversee its implementation. This legislative move positions Texas as a pioneer in integrating Bitcoin into state-level financial strategies.

VanEck Proposes Mining Royalty to Fund U.S. Bitcoin Reserve

Investment firm VanEck has proposed a novel approach to building a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve by introducing a mining royalty system. The proposal suggests implementing a tax exemption for miners who utilize waste methane in their operations, thereby promoting environmental sustainability. The Bitcoin generated through this eco-friendly mining process would be directed into the national reserve, offering a budget-neutral method to accumulate digital assets while addressing environmental concerns

Crypto Charts

ETF Flow

Disclaimer

This research is for informational use only. This is not investment advice. Other than disclosures relating to Secure Digital Markets this research is based on current public information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. The information, opinions, estimates, and forecasts contained herein are as of the date hereof and are subject to change without prior notification. We seek to update our research as appropriate.

Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation. The price of crypto assets may rise or fall because of changes in the broad market or changes in a company's financial condition, sometimes rapidly or unpredictably. Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur. Fluctuations in exchange rates could have adverse effects on the value or price of, or income derived from, certain investments. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees, excluding equity and credit analysts, will from time to time have long or short positions in, act as principal in, and buy or sell, the securities or derivatives, if any, referred to in this research.

The information on which the analysis is based has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable such as, for example, the company’s financial statements filed with a regulator, company website, company white paper, pitchbook and any other sources. While Secure Digital Markets has obtained data, statistics, and information from sources it believes to be reliable, it does not perform an audit or seek independent verification of any of the data, statistics, and information it receives.

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