November 26, 2025

Trading Desk Insights

Bitcoin is steady after last week’s $1 trillion flush took price from $120,000 into the $80,000 range. The selloff cleared out leverage and forced short term holders to capitulate, which normally lines up with local bottoms rather than deeper downside. Over the last day, BTC has held a tight range between $90,000 and $92,000. The bounce to $91,000 stalled because spot activity has not returned yet, with onchain transfer volume still down about 20 percent week over week.

The next real test sits between $92,000 and $95,000, where a large cluster of prior buyers is waiting. Clearing that opens the path back toward the $100,000 to $108,000 zone. Support remains centered around $83,000 to $85,000, which is where demand needs to hold to lock in a final bottom.

ETH’s move has been lighter. Fees keep drifting lower and total value locked has not recovered from the October washout, which is why ETH continues to stall under $4,000. Macro remains the swing variable as layoffs rise and spending cools, keeping risk assets cautious but also setting the stage for more supportive policy if conditions soften further.

One thing to watch is spot participation across US trading hours. Liquidity has been thinner during the morning session compared to earlier in the month, and most of the buying interest has been coming from Asia and Europe. A reset in US spot flows would signal that traders are willing to step back in, which historically has aligned with the early stages of stronger recoveries.

Crypto Charts

ETF Flow

Disclaimer

This research is for informational use only. This is not investment advice. Other than disclosures relating to Secure Digital Markets this research is based on current public information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. The information, opinions, estimates, and forecasts contained herein are as of the date hereof and are subject to change without prior notification. We seek to update our research as appropriate.

Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation. The price of crypto assets may rise or fall because of changes in the broad market or changes in a company's financial condition, sometimes rapidly or unpredictably. Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur. Fluctuations in exchange rates could have adverse effects on the value or price of, or income derived from, certain investments. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees, excluding equity and credit analysts, will from time to time have long or short positions in, act as principal in, and buy or sell, the securities or derivatives, if any, referred to in this research.

The information on which the analysis is based has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable such as, for example, the company’s financial statements filed with a regulator, company website, company white paper, pitchbook and any other sources. While Secure Digital Markets has obtained data, statistics, and information from sources it believes to be reliable, it does not perform an audit or seek independent verification of any of the data, statistics, and information it receives.

Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, Secure Digital Markets does not represent that the report contents meet all of the presentation and/or disclosure standards applicable in the jurisdiction the recipient is located. Secure Digital Markets and their officers, directors and employees shall not be responsible or liable for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses, or opinions within the report.

Crypto and/or digital currencies involve substantial risk, are speculative in nature and may not perform as expected. Many digital currency platforms are not subject to regulatory supervision, unlike regulated exchanges. Some platforms may commingle customer assets in shared accounts and provide inadequate custody, which may affect whether or how investors can withdraw their currency and/or subject them to money laundering. Digital currencies may be vulnerable to hacks and cyber fraud as well as significant volatility and price swings.

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